On Dec 24, 2009, at 11:29 AM, Derrick Brashear wrote: > On Thu, Dec 24, 2009 at 11:20 AM, Schneider Fred > wrote: >> About a year ago, perhaps more Dennis, and the rest of you, I >> suggested to a friend of mine that the future held the wealthy moving >> back into the cities and evicting the poor. The poor would then >> move to the suburbs. My friend (I would prefer to keep him nameless >> other than to state that he has earned his living as a transportation >> consultant in about six nations over the last 40 years) added the >> punch line: "And the poor will be breaking up the furniture to feed >> the fireplaces in the suburbs to keep warm." >> >> This is a rather dim outlook but my personal prediction holds that >> the price of motor fuels will go back up to $4.00 or more a gallon >> when this global recession is over. That might be enough to trigger >> the next recession. Perhaps after two or three of them in a row, we >> will finally understand that it is us driving the price of oil >> because we are running out. Maybe then we will do something about >> alternatives. >> >> But if we are looking at five year cycles ... twenty years from now >> many of us on this list will not be here to see if Fred's prediction >> was correct or not. > > Moving close to the jobs can, but doesn't necessarily, mean moving > back into the cities. > > Downtown Pittsburgh still has companies but not like it did. > Cranberry's office parks are lower density but there are potentially > jobs there you could live close to. > > The question becomes whether low density makes e.g. bus service > sufficiently slow or annoying if you get to the point where you *must* > provide it because there's no fuel that *then* the jobs move again. > >